2021 NCAA Wrestling Championship Watch Party

The 2021 NCAA Team Race According To The Seeds

The 2021 NCAA Team Race According To The Seeds

How will the 2021 NCAA Wrestling Championship team race go? If everyone wrestles to seed, it will very closely resemble these results.

Mar 11, 2021 by Andrew Spey
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Now that all 330 seeds for 2021 NCAA Wrestling Championship have been published, we can take a look at their implications with regards the team race. 

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Now that all 330 seeds for 2021 NCAA Wrestling Championship have been published, we can take a look at their implications with regards the team race. 

Remember these are based on the seeds. They are not predictions, nor do they suggest that there is no need to actually wrestle the tournament anymore. We're simply taking the scoring rubric we use to calculate the team tournament rankings and using it with the seeds rather than our rankings. If you don't like the results, you have the seeding committee to thank. 

Below are the team scores based on the seeds, using only implied placement and advancement points, without factoring in any hypothetical bonus points. 

RANKSCHOOLPTS
1Iowa126.5
2Penn State72
3NC State63.5
4Virginia Tech61.5
5Missouri60
5Arizona State60
7Nebraska54.5
8Michigan53.5
9Oklahoma State50
10Ohio State36
11Pittsburgh34
11Minnesota34
13Iowa State31.5
14Northwestern29.5
15Central Michigan28
16Rutgers24.5
16Northern Iowa24.5
18Utah Valley22.5
19North Carolina21
20Rider20
21Oklahoma16.5
22Binghamton13.5
23Stanford12
23Appalachian State12
25Wyoming11.5
25Illinois11.5
27Michigan State10.5
28Lehigh10
28Bucknell10
30Kent State9.5
31Virginia8.5
31Purdue8.5
33North Dakota State8
34Northern Illinois7.5
35South Dakota State5.5
35Navy5.5
37Oregon State5
37Campbell5
39Wisconsin4
39Cal Poly4
41West Virginia3.5
41Northern Colorado3.5
41Army West Point3.5
44Indiana2.5
45Fresno State2
46Drexel1.5
46Clarion1.5
48Hofstra1
48CSU Bakersfield1
48Air Force1
51The Citadel0.5
51SIU Edwardsville0.5
51Sacred Heart0.5
51Ohio0.5
51Edinboro0.5
51Cleveland State0.5
51Chattanooga0.5
58Little Rock0
58Gardner-Webb0
58Duke0
58Buffalo0
58Bloomsburg0
58American0


Not quite as large a gap as in our Team Tournament Rankings but Iowa is still the heavy favorite. Breaking out the top 20 by weight class yields the following table. 


Based on seeds, Iowa is projected to have four champs, eight All-Americans, and two bloodrounders. A lot is going to have to go wrong for the Hawkeyes for them to not win their first NCAA title since 2010.

Aaron Brooks is projected to secure an individual championship for Penn State for the 10th tournament in a row (every year since 2011, not including the canceled 2020 tournament). They have a lot of upside among their eight other qualifiers but they'll have to out perform their seeds by a wide margin to catch Iowa. 

Likewise for the rest of the pack, although the hunt for a top four placement and a team trophy is looking like it will be a lot of fun. Can the ACC put two teams in the top four? Can Oklahoma State bounce back from a lackluster Big 12s?

Myriad storylines abound. Which is why we still definitely need to have their tournament! We're as excited as you are, can't wait for first whistle!