First NCAA Coaches' Poll Projects Iowa As Massive Favorite

First NCAA Coaches' Poll Projects Iowa As Massive Favorite

The first NCAA coaches' poll is out and it projects Iowa to win the NCAA Championships by a large margin.

Feb 11, 2021 by Andrew Spey
First NCAA Coaches' Poll Projects Iowa As Massive Favorite
The first NCAA coaches' poll is out and it projects Iowa to win the NCAA Championships by more than double the score of projected runner-up Penn State.

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The first NCAA coaches' poll is out and it projects Iowa to win the NCAA Championships by more than double the score of projected runner-up Penn State.

By assigning placement and advancement points, when can estimate the number of team points each wrestler will score at the NCAA using their coaches' poll rankings as a stand-in for their finish at the tournament. This doesn't take into account bonus points, but this will still give us a rough estimate of team placement, and is the same method we use to determine our team tournament rankings

RANKSCHOOLPOINTS
1Iowa145.5
2Penn St.67
3Virginia Tech65.5
4NC State60.5
5Nebraska55
6Michigan48
7Arizona St.47.5
8Iowa St.44.5
9Missouri43
10Ohio St.42.5
11Oklahoma St.41
12Minnesota37
13Central Michigan30.5
14Rutgers28.5
15North Carolina28
16Illinois27
17Northern Iowa23.5
18Pittsburgh23
19Utah Valley19.5
20Stanford18
21Michigan St.17
22Rider15.5
23Purdue15
24West Virginia14
25Virginia13.5
25South Dakota St.13.5
27Binghamton12.5
28Oklahoma12
29Northwestern11
30Wisconsin10
31Lehigh7.5
32Wyoming7
32Bucknell7
34Navy6.5
34Indiana6.5
36Clarion5.5
37Appalachian St.5
38Campbell4
39Oregon St.3.5
39Northern Colorado3.5
41Northern Illinois2.5
41North Dakota St.2.5
41Kent St.2.5
41Drexel2.5
41Cal Poly2.5
41Army West Point2.5
47SIU Edwardsville2
47Fresno St.2
47Air Force2
50Hofstra1
50Buffalo1
52Gardner-Webb0.5
52Edinboro0.5
52Duke0.5
52Chattanooga0.5
56VMI0
56The Citadel0
56Ohio0
56Little Rock0
56CSU Bakersfield0
56Cleveland St.0
56Bloomsburg0


Here's how FloWrestling's team top 25 compares to the coaches' poll. 

Flo RankSchoolPointsCoaches' RankSchoolPoints
1Iowa132.51Iowa145.5
2Michigan78.52Penn St.67
3NC State62.53Virginia Tech65.5
4OK State624NC State60.5
5Nebraska52.55Nebraska55
6Penn State526Michigan48
7Virginia Tech46.57Arizona St.47.5
8Ohio State43.58Iowa St.44.5
9Minnesota40.59Missouri43
10Missouri3910Ohio St.42.5
11Arizona State33.511Oklahoma St.41
12Iowa State3312Minnesota37
13Rutgers3213Central Michigan30.5
14Northwestern3114Rutgers28.5
15UNI28.515North Carolina28
16Central Michigan27.516Illinois27
17Illinois25.517Northern Iowa23.5
18North Carolina22.518Pittsburgh23
19Pittsburgh2219Utah Valley19.5
20West Virginia20.520Stanford18
20Virginia20.521Michigan St.17
22Stanford2022Rider15.5
22Purdue2023Purdue15
24Rider1324West Virginia14
24Lehigh1325Virginia13.5
24Binghamton1325South Dakota St.13.5


And here's a breakdown of the top ten schools by weight class. 



As the table shows, Iowa is projected to score more than double the points of Penn State. Should the NCAA finishes resemble the coaches' poll ranks, the Hawkeyes should comfortably cruise to their first team title since 2010.

The coaches have three Hawkeyes ranked number one, Spencer Lee at 125, Jaydin Eierman at 141, and Michael Kemerer at 174. The coaches also predict Iowa vs Penn State finals 133 and 141, with Roman Bravo-Young (PSU) and Austin DeSanto (Iowa) ranked #1 and #2 at 133-pounds and Eierman and Nick Lee #1 and #2 at 141.

If Virginia Tech and NC State finish in the top four, it will be the first time two ACC schools earned a trophy since *checks notes* not sure but probably a really long time, if ever!

Iowa is also one of three schools, the others being NC State and Missouri, that feature a ranked wrestler in all ten weight classes. Here are all the projected national qualifiers of every school with a wrestler that shows up in the coaches' poll.

SCHOOLNQs
Iowa10
Missouri10
NC State10
Virginia Tech9
Oklahoma St.9
Ohio St.9
North Carolina9
Minnesota9
Illinois9
Wyoming8
Virginia8
Rutgers8
Penn St.8
Oklahoma8
Nebraska8
Navy8
Arizona St.8
Purdue7
Northern Iowa7
Michigan7
Iowa St.7
Wisconsin6
Stanford6
South Dakota St.6
Pittsburgh6
Oregon St.6
Northern Illinois6
Michigan St.6
Hofstra6
Central Michigan6
Army West Point6
Air Force6
Rider5
Northern Colorado5
Lehigh5
Campbell5
Appalachian St.5
West Virginia4
Utah Valley4
Northwestern4
North Dakota St.4
Indiana4
Drexel4
Chattanooga4
Binghamton4
SIU Edwardsville3
Ohio3
Fresno St.3
Cal Poly3
The Citadel2
Kent St.2
Edinboro2
CSU Bakersfield2
Buffalo2
Bucknell2
VMI1
Little Rock1
Gardner-Webb1
Duke1
Cleveland St.1
Clarion1
Bloomsburg1