Day 8 Bracket Analysis

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All eyes will be on the paths of a potential Snyderlaev III which would close out the 2019 World Championships on Sunday. 

America sends out Tyler Graff (61kg), returning World champ Kyle Dake (79kg), Pat Downey (86kg) and four-time World/OLY finalist Kyle Frederick Snyder (97kg)

Let's get to it. Below are bracket breakdowns for each weight starting Saturday.


61kg - Tyler Graff vs. Jincheol Kim (KOR)

Full Bracket Link

Overview: The top half is loaded, particularly the second quad. 

Tylers' Road: Graff sits in a very good spot. He filters into the #3 seed's quarterfinal, but you have to feel pretty good about his two bouts prior. He starts off with Kim (KOR) who doesn't have a very deep resume before getting the winner of a very pedestrian matchup between Bileichuk (UKR) and Liu (CHN). The quarter would bring #3 seed Beka Lomtadze who was the non-Olympic World silver to Logan Stieber in 2016. This year he was silver at Euros. It's a fine draw.

Top Half Analysis:

So many hammers in the top quad that's lead by returning champ Yowlys Bonne (CUB) who will see Azerbaijan's Akhmed Gvarzatilov to open up. Bonne will then have the winner between Ehsanpoor (IRI) and Topal (TUR), two solid competitors but Bonne should get through to semis.

The next quad is where it gets tricky. The #4 seed is Nicolai Okhlopkov (ROU) a former Russian who is making his first SR Worlds appearance after taking second to Idrisov (RUS) at Yarygin this year. He should have young Uzbek talent Abbos Rakhmanov in round two to get to the quarters.

The group that filters in is particularly loaded. Leading off is Russia's Yarygin champ Mogamedrasul Idrisov who will open with Belarus before hitting either the eighth-ranked Tumenbileg (MGL) or this year's JR World champ Kaiki Yamaguchi (JPN).

Bottom Half Analysis: 

Graff's #3 quad is above.

The #2 quad is not strong at all. It has Rahul Aware (IND) as the seed. He won Dogu this year although the bracket wasn't very deep. There's a Euro bronze (Vock/SUI) and a Euro fifth (Sefjulau/MKD) but not much else.

So...Lomtadze. If Graff can get through him, we're looking really rosy. 

Best Early Round Match: Round of 32 - Ehsanpoor (IRI) vs. Topal (TUR)

Best Early Round Match: Round of 16 - Idrisov (RUS) vs. Tumenbileg (MGL)


79kg - Kyle Dake vs. Oibek Nasirov (KGZ)

Full Bracket Link

Overview: Thin and even bracket. The talent is dispersed, which should make from good quarters on. 

Kyle's Road: Layup for Kyle in round 1 as Nasirov has no medals and no World experience. But the quarters will bring him Russia's Gadzhi Nabiev, the Russian Nationals champ who was silver at U23s.

Top Half Analysis:

The man who beat Nabiev in that U23 final is Nika Kentchadze (GEO) who is in the second part of the top bracket. He'll get the winner of the #4 seed Teymouri (IRI) and veteran Rashid Kurbanov (UZB) for the right to meet Dake in semis.

Bottom Half Analysis: 

The #2 seed is the runner-up to Dake at Worlds last year, Jabrail Hasanov (AZE) who should walk to semis provided he beats Usserbayev (KAZ) in quarters. 

The other quad is a snoozer too. The #3 seed is Kotanoglu (TUR) who was third at Euros and Dogu. But my pick to make the semis is Slovakia's Taimuraz Salkazanov, who beat David Baev to win U23s at 70kg last year.

Best First Round Match: Kurbanov (UZB) vs. Teymouri (IRI)


86kg - Pat Downey vs. Hovhanni Mkhitaryan (ARM)

Full Bracket Link

Overview: You'd think the year before the Olympics that every Olympic weight at Worlds would be wild. But for some odd reason, the number of stars at this weight is a bit limited. The bottom half has a ton (and I mean a ton) of guys, but the top bracket is kinda sorry. And somehow, Deepak Punia is the dang 4 seed. 

James Patrick Downey's Road: Pat is all the way at the bottom where natural-born killers roam in numbers. Pat has a couple of decent matchups early, though. Solid, but a decent draw for sure. His opening bout is a guy that's young and unproven. He'd then get Baranowski (POL) or Orgodol (MGL), both solid (Baranowski was Euro silver and Orgodol bronze at Yarygin), but those types are everywhere in the bottom side. #2 seed Boris Makoev (SVK) would be next. He beat J'den in 2017 World semis. The other group that filters into that quarter has last year's 79kg bronze Alil Shabanau (BLR) (who opens with Myles Amine), Torreblanca (CUB), and Takatani (JPN).

Top Half Analysis:

The top seed is Turkey's Fatih Erdin who David Taylor beat in the World finals last year. He was also runner-up this year at Yarygin. He'll walk to quarters. In fact, his toughest out to semis is probably Domenic Abounader (LEB).

The next quad has 4th-seeded Deepak Punia (IND), a promising talent (he won JR Worlds this year) but obviously very young for an Olympic upperweight. He was third at Sassari which gets him the most fortuitous draw at any weight this tournament. He has Peru, Guam, Jamaica, Columbia, Morocco, and Tajikistan in his quad. His first match will be his toughest (Davlumbaev/KAZ) and then he should cruise to semis to meet Erdin.

Bottom Half Analysis: 

Downey's far-bottom quarter was covered above.

The third quad has perennial medalist Hassan Yazdani Cherati (IRI) as the #3 seed. He opens with Jaime Espinal (PUR) and then Euro bronze Vereb (HUN). 

His biggest threat is before semis is probably Naifanov (RUS) but Naifonov is in a wicked group with Shapiev (UZB), Gostiev (AZE), and Aminashvili (GEO).

Best Early Round Match: Round of 64  - Shapiev (UZB) vs. Gostiev (AZE)

Best Early Round Match: Round of 32- Shapiev/Gostiev Winner vs. Aminashvili


97kg - Kyle Snyder vs. Mausem Khatri (IND)

Full Bracket Link

Overview: They put this weight last for a reason. Snyderlaev III. 

Kyle's Road: While there's little doubt in any of our American hearts that Kyle will make the finals, there are some tough outs in Kyle's half including Odikadze (GEO) who has beaten him before. He won't see Odikadze, the 4 seed, until the semis, though.

He opens with a layup. In the quarters he'll either get Mogamed Ibragimov (UZB), who lost to Odikadze in the bronze bout last year or Albert Saritov (ROU) the bronze medalist in Kyle's Olympic bracket. In Rio, Kyle beat Saritov 7-0 in the quarters and Odikadze in semis. Saritov beat Odikadze for bronze.

Top Half Analysis:

Odikadze's #4 seed quad will see him face Shabani (IRI), this year's Dogu runner-up to Snyder. The group that filters to the other quarterfinal slot is strong, beginning with an opening match between two guys that wrestled for between Rio fifth Andriitsev (UKR) and Yargyin runner-up Hushtyn (BLR). The winner gets Rio bronze Sharifov (AZE).

Bottom Half Analysis: 

Sadulaev (RUS) is the #2 seed as a finalist in the last five World/OLYs. He's lost exactly one time in the last six years — to Snyder in 2017 World finals. He'll have Nicolae Ceban (MDA) a Euro fifth in his first bout but will roll through to the semis.

Batsu Uiliisaikhan (MGL) is the #3 seed in a weak group to make the semis opposite Sadulaev. Uillsaikhan was just fifth at Sassari. There's the JR World silver from last year Yergali (KAZ) and average types in Erik Thiele (GER) and Mogomed Musaev (KGZ). 

Best First Round Match: Hushtyn (UKR) vs. Andriitsev (UKR)

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