2015 US Senior Nationals and Trials Qualifier

U.S. Nationals Betting Lines

U.S. Nationals Betting Lines

What would a weekend in Vegas without a little wager be?Some of the best talent in the country is at the U.S. Senior Nationals which serves as the largest q

Dec 18, 2015 by Willie Saylor
U.S. Nationals Betting Lines
What would a weekend in Vegas without a little wager be?

Some of the best talent in the country is at the U.S. Senior Nationals which serves as the largest qualification tournament in this most important Olympic year.

Watch for a full preview Friday morning, but until then, we lay out the situation and posit faux betting lines for each of the six Olympic weights for men's freestyle.

Remember, a '+ 125' means you risk $100 to win $125. A '- 250' means you are risking $250 to win $100.

Willie, CP, and Brock each have $1000 to lay.


57kg - We'll start with the reigning Olympian (at 60kg), Coleman Scott and the highest placer from the 2015 World Team Trials that is present, which is Joe Colon. Colon was the Trials runner-up to Tony Ramos. Dan Dennis was also in the best-of-three finals, losing to Reece Humphrey, up at 61kg.

The field is led by Dennis and four other previous World Team Members in Escobedo, Blanc, Hazewinkel and Abas.

Coleman Scott: + 200
Joe Colon: + 150
The Field: - 350

The Field
Alan Waters
Ali Naser
Andrew Hochstrasser
Angel Escobedo
Bobby Raines
Bradley Pataky
Britain Longmire
Cruse Aarhus
Daniel Mitcheff
Daniel Dennis
Erkin Tadzhimetov
Frank Perrelli
George Torres
John Morrison
Kenneth Anderson
Kyle Hutter
Luis Nunez
Mark McKnight
Nathan Tomasello
Nicholas Vega
Obenson Blanc
Rene Ruiz
Sam Hazewinkel
Stephen Abas
Stevan Micic
Zack Sanders

WillieÂ's Play: IÂ'm laying $350 on the field. Heck, I'd like to throw more on it, but I only have a grand to work with. ColemanÂ's the favorite in my mind, but there are just too many factors (first time down at 57, coaching, etc) at play. It makes the field bet too tasty. It's a lot of cheddar to risk for a measly 100 bucks, but there are also a slew of legitimate contenders.

BrockÂ's Play: I like the value in Joe Colon winning. There are too many unknowns with Coleman Scott. My hesitation is the depth of the field. There could be several guys standing atop the podium Saturday and I wouldnÂ't be surprised one bit. I will take my pick to win at +money. $225 on Colon to cash $562.50.

CPÂ's Play: Too many land mines in this field. The lines make it tough to bet it though. I'm staying away from this weight. The bet is the field, but too much to spend for a small payoff. I'll let Willie make that mistake.

65kg - We set figures for Jordan Oliver, the Trials and Open runner-up, and the NYAC champ. He beat Logan Stieber in the finals there, and Stieber just finished as runner-up at the prestigious Golden Grand Prix.

Taking the field will get you key players Aaron Pico and Frank Molinaro (who split matches at NYAC's), Jason Chamberlain, Nazar, Kellen Russell, and World Team Member at 61kg, Reece Humphrey.

Jordan Oliver: - 125
Logan Stieber: + 150
The Field: + 250

The Field:
Aaron Pico
BJ Futrell
Brandon Wright
Christopher Dardanes
DÂ'Andre Graham
Frank Molinaro
Jason Chamberlain
Jayson Ness
Jimmy Kennedy
Joseph Hulen
Joshua Kindig
Justin Feldman
Kellen Russell
Marcus Cobbs
Michael Mitchell
Nick Dardanes
Nazar Kulchytskyy
Reece Humphrey
Chase Pami

WillieÂ's Play: I've always argued that my fellow Easton alum Oliver needs to open up more. He's played matches too close to the vest. But he looked good at NYAC's and he's getting glowing reviews out of his training camp. There's A TON of talent in the bracket, but a fully dialed in J.O. is a scary thought. At just -125 I'm laying $250 to net a $200 profit.

BrockÂ's Play: I like the way Logan is wrestling and he is my pick to win. He controlled the match against Oliver at the Farrell before giving up the four-pointer. That being said the value of the field is too tempting. $100 on the field to cash $350

CP's Play: I get Kennedy, Russell, Hump and Pico +250? Aight. Throw 4 hunnit on it.

74kg - This weight is led by the Bedlam rivalry of Howe and Perry. Howe reached the finals of two Team Trials - in 2011 and the 2012 OLY year. Perry was 4th in the Trials Challenge tournament in 2014 and 3rd this June. Perry won 2 of 3, including the last two, in their college days at 174lbs.

There are two real intriguing guys you'll get in the field. Anthony Valencia was up-and-down between the 2015 U.S. Open (up) and the Trials (down). The second strong prospect is Nick Marable, the 2014 World Team Member at 70kg, who has a career win over Jordan Burroughs at 74.

Andrew Howe - 175
Chris Perry + 125
The Field + 275

The Field:
Adam Hall
Andrew Sorenson
Anthony Valencia
Glenn Rhees
Kevin LeValley
Cyler Sanderson
Michael Moreno
Nathaniel Carr
Nestor Taffur
Nick Marable
Quinton Godley
Santiago Martinez
Thomas Klaus
Vladyslav Dombrovskiy

WillieÂ's Play: Perry is an X-factor for me. He muddies this whole bet being down at 74 for the first time. Add to that Marable back up at 74 and you're looking at two of the top three contenders being a wait-and-see situation. IÂ'm passing on this weightÂ's wagering.

BrockÂ's Play: I like Andrew Howe and the price isnÂ't low enough to drive me away. He has performed well in freestyle for a long time and should leave Vegas with the title. $175 on Howe to cash $275.

CPÂ's Play: I'm chasing value. Chris Perry can beat Andrew Howe(though Freestyle favors Howe's style moreso than Folk). I'll put 200 more on Perry at +275.

86kg - You might wonder why we left Dake and Taylor in 'the field'. Well, they are unproven at 86 where there just happens to be two former World Team Members (Ruth '14 and Gavin '13) and a whole lotta depth.

That being said, it sets up the most interesting 'Field' play of the day. Taylor and Foster ('14) and Dake ('13 and '15) have all made Trials finals.

Ed Ruth: Even Money
Keith Gavin: + 140
The Field: - 300

The Field:
Anthony Jones
Austin Trotman
Austin Morehead
Clayton Foster
David Taylor
Deron Winn
Ethen Lofthouse
Frank Richmond
Jon Reader
Joshua Asper
Kyle Dake
Nicholas Borta
Richard Perry
Robert Hamlin
Ryan Loder
Timmy McCall
Tyler Caldwell
Tyrel Todd
Victor Terrell
Zahid Valencia

WillieÂ's Play: Super deep field. But thatÂ's the sucker bet. Ruth and Gavin are the best two guys. Gun-to-my-head I pick Gavin to win. And that's what I'm going with - $200 on Gavin to cash in my ticket at $480.

BrockÂ's Play: The field is so tempting, but thatÂ's the reason the line is expensive to win just a $100. Ed Ruth is such a risky bet because he isnÂ't always Â"on.Â" I like his size and wrestling anyway. $150 on Ruth to cash $300

CPÂ's Play: The field is so tempting but where's the payoff? Reminds me of 57kg except I get better choices for favorites. I love Keith Gavin but it's been shown he doesn't match up well with Ruth anymore. I think the best bet is Ed here. 300 on The Truth.


97kg - As far as previous World Team Members/Finalists go, this weight is lacking. Kilgore won the mini tournament at the Trials in 2014 before falling to Varner in the best-of-three. That was the year that Michalak was the #1 seed at the Trials after losing to Varner in the U.S. Open finals.

Instead of opting for a betting line for Michalak, we went with a number for Gadson. Doing so put much more intrigue on a 'Field' bet, which would have otherwise featured uninspiring options.

Dustin Kilgore: - 200
Kyven Gadson: + 190
Field: +300

The Field:
Braden Atwood
Cayle Byers
Donald McNeil
Enock Francois
JT Felix
Joe Nord
Kallen Kleinschmid
Lance Benick
Micah Burak
Scott Schiller
Steve Santos
Wynn Michalak

WillieÂ's Play: Who in the sam hell in this group is beating Kilgore? Michalak. Maybe. $200 on Killer.

BrockÂ's Play: Byers, Schiller, Michalak for plus money sounds good to me. I donÂ't have too much confidence that any particular guy in the field is going to win, so I will take everyone but Kilgore and Gadson. $200 on the field to cash $800

CPÂ's Play: Willie's ignorance of the field shows in these lines. Kilgore is a favorite but has shown to be vulnerable against Burak and Michalak. I'm putting 100 here. I may wish I put more in this spot.


125kg - The good news is that seven of the top twelve ranked American HWT's are in action. The bad news is that the Top 3 (Tervel, Rey, and Gwiazdowski), all of whom are already qualified for Iowa City, aren't.

Bradley made the mini tournament finals this year, beating Fortune and losing to Rey. Fortune lost to Gwiz for 3rd. Fortune was 3rd at the Trials in '14, beating Meuleners, who was 4th.

"The Field" offers some interesting commodities with five guys ranked on the ladder, Clayton Jack coming back for a last go 'round, and Bobby Telford full steam ahead for FS.

Dom Bradley: - 150
Tyrell Fortune: + 150
Field: + 400

The Field
Anthony Nelson
Connor Medbery
Eric Thompson
Justin Grant
Matthew Meuleners
Clayton Jack
Ben Durbin
Bobby Telford

Willie's Play: IÂ'm staying away from this. Picking a Bradley-Fortune outcome is, well, a gamble. And the field hasnÂ't proved they can win the whole thing.

BrockÂ's Play: Bradley isnÂ't too heavy of a favorite to push me off of this one. He sometimes plays it too close to the vest, but he wins more than his fair share of the close ones. $150 on Bradley to cash $250

CPÂ's Play: I don't feel good enough about either of these guys to lay any serious dough. Dom is my pick but he and Tyrell have had some tight ones before. I don't have much confidence in the field. The value lies with Tyrell.


Comment below and put your (fake) money where your mouth is.

Greco and Women get under way tomorrow with Men's FS and Women wrapping up action on Saturday.

Watch all the drama unfold here on Flo as we take another step on the #Road2IowaCity.