2026 NCAA DI Wrestling Championships - ARCHIVE ONLY

The 5 Most Surprising Seeds At The 2026 NCAA D1 Wrestling Championships

The 5 Most Surprising Seeds At The 2026 NCAA D1 Wrestling Championships

The top five things that surprised us when we saw the 2026 NCAA Wrestling Championships seeds.

Mar 17, 2026 by Andrew Spey
The 5 Most Surprising Seeds At The 2026 NCAA D1 Wrestling Championships

Whereas most sports have but a single bracket with which to occupy their postseason discussions, college wrestling fans are blessed with ten glorious brackets every March. And contained within each bracket are 33 competitors, all seeded from one through 33. 

The seeding is determined using a formula, much of which is derived from the rankings in the coaches' poll. The seeds are then double-checked, and if it is determined necessary, adjusted by a committee of humans. 

Quite often, the seeds make a lot of sense. The system in place is now really quite good and demonstrably superior to the systems used in the past. Other times, however, they can leave the collective wrestling community scratching their heads. And while I truly believe this year's seeds leave very little to complain about, there were nonetheless some surprises which we'll highlight below. 

And if you want to check out the NCAA brackets for yourself, you can find them here.

1) Jax Forrest Nabs The Number 1 At 133

The seed that generated the most conversation was easily Jax Forrest getting the number one spot at 133, one of the deepest and most anticipated weight classes of the tournament. 

Kozak explains why he objected to the seed in the video embedded in the following Tweet.

The main gripe comes from the fact that Ben Davino has similar wins and wrestled a full season, competing at the National Duals Invitational and a full Big Ten regular season, whereas Jax was in high school in the fall semester and faced significantly fewer NCAA D1 qualifiers. 

Where the 'matrix' (i.e. the formula they use to determine the seeds) dings Davino is that he has one loss to Marcus Blaze (which Davino avenged at the Big Ten Tournament), which gives Davino a worse winning percentage than the undefeated Forrest. 

Additionally, Davino has a win over Evan Frost, who was in the top 5 when that bout was contested. But Frost was not Iowa State's postseason rep at 133. Instead, it was Garrett Grice. Davino's win over Frost, therefore, no longer counts as a win over a National Qualifier (results from previous season are not factored into the seeding process at all), while Forrest now has an additional win over an NQ, as he beat Grice at Big 12s. 

Despite the crowded field in 133, Forrest would be a title contender at any seed. However, there is still a strong argument that a 25-1 record with wins over Blaze, Frost, Ayala X2, Fugitt, and Van Dee X2 with one loss to Blaze, should get seeded higher over someone with a 13-0 record with wins over Ayala, Seidel, and Larkin. 

2) Angelo Ferrari Drops to Number 7 at 184

The fact that Ferrari dropped to seven isn't as controversial as Forrest's ranking, it's just an unfortunate by-product of guys with limited seasons due to injuries receiving seeds below what they are ranked and what their general perceived level would be. 

Angelo has wins over Aeoden Sinclair, Dylan Fishback, Zach Ryder and Chris Moore against just two losses to Rocco Welsh (the number one seed), and has been ranked in the top 5 for most of the season. However, Angelo missed time in the second half of the season due to injuries and only amassed an 11-3 record. Additionally, his medical forfeit to Chris Moore at the Big Tens counts on his record and affects his win percentage and RPI, two stats that factored into his lower seed. 

Watch Angelo defeat Moore at NDI: 

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Iowa fans shouldn't fret too much over the seed either, as 184 is extremely tight from seeds one through eight, so any seed in that range is going to have a difficult but navigable path to a championship. 

Cowboy fans find themselves in a similar but even less auspicious predicament at 184lbs, as Zach Ryder, who started the season in the top 10 after a win at the All-Star Classic over Jaxon Smith, is seeded #22, though ranked #12. Hurting Ryder's seed was having even more regular season losses than Angleo in addition to a countable medical forfeit loss at his conference championship. 

3) Markel Baker Gets A Top 10 Seed At 133

Absolutely zero disrespect intended to Markel Baker of Northern Illinois, however, he is ranked 29th in the latest FloWrestling rankings and 25th in the third coaches' poll. Baker collected an impressive 26 D1 wins on the season, but his best win was probably #20 Blake Boarman of Chattanooga. And -- again in all due respect -- there is little in his career resume to suggest he would reach the All-American podium this weekend. 

That said, I think it would be fantastic if Baker defied all and did exactly that, ripping off a legendary run in Cleveland that saw him finish in the top 8. I would seriously consider that to be one of the best things to happen next weekend, so know that I will be rooting for Baker on Thursday! 

4) Sam Goin Falls To The #33 Seed At 184

On the flipside of the perplexing seeds is Indiana's Sam Goin, who is ranked 15th in Flo's rankings and #14 by the coaches. Hurting Goin was the hellacious Big Ten schedule he had to endure that saw him match up against Rocco Welsh, Dylan Fishback, Silas Allred, and Chris Moore during the regular season. Goin also entered the Patriot Last Chance Open but had to withdraw due to injury and collected a countable medical forfeit to Dylan Newsome of Virginia. 

That, combined with a 12-8 record and a resume lacking in wins over national qualifiers and Goin falls all the way to #33. So if anyone is looking for someone who has a pigtail match to reach the final eight, you could do a lot worse than pick Sam Goin at 184!

5) Luke Luffman Only Manages The #26 Seed At 285

Just like Goin, Illinois' Luke Luffman had one of the biggest discrepancies between his seed and his ranking, and not in his favor, either. The Illini heavyweight is ranked 14th by Flo and 18th by the coaches, yet he only received the #26 seed in a very crowded 285lb field. 

Luffman's difficulties in receiving a higher seed at NCAAs is compounded by an insanely stacked heavyweight division in the Big Tens, the conference in which Illinois competes. Luffman's took losses to Koy Hopke, Ben Kueter, Nick Feldman, and AJ Ferrari. The the "worst" loss of that bunch is #12 Koy Hopke. A loss to Jim Mullen doesn't help, but even Mullen is ranked 19th. Really, it's the lack of wins over national qualifiers that made for an underestimated seed for Luffman. Which just makes for another value play for anyone doing a NCAA fantasy draft!

Watch Luffman beat Calvin Lachman at NDI:

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And now, because I already crunched the numbers, below is a list of all the national qualifiers and the absolute difference between their seed and their FloWrestling ranking.

WTNAMESCHOOLSEEDFLOABS FLO
133Markel BakerN. Illinois82921
184Sam GoinIndiana331518
141Wyatt HensonLock Haven132714
174Nick FineColumbia163014
285Luke LuffmanIllinois261412
125Tyler KlinskyRider112211
174Daschle LamerOregon State203111
184Caleb CamposAmerican102111
285Devon DawsonN. Illinois112211
141Carter NogleAir Force182810
141Haiden DruryUtah Valley192910
184Zack RyderOklahoma State221210
184Joe CurtisColumbia243410
285Stephan MoncheryApp State233310
125Davis MotykaPenn22319
133Tyler KnoxStanford1569
149Eligh RiveraPrinceton22319
149Kade BrownPittsburgh28199
165Brock WoodcockSIUE21309
141Gable PorterVirginia27198
149Eugene HarneyMorgan State18268
149Andre GonzalesCal Poly27358
157Mason ShraderCentral Michigan25338
184Jared McGillEdinboro19278
197Colton HawksArizona State29218
125Andrew BinniNavy28357
133Zach ReddingNC State22157
141Nash SingletonOregon State24177
141Tom CrookVirginia Tech25187
149Cross WasilewskiPenn3107
149Kaden CassidyGeorge Mason29227
157Vinny ZerbanIowa State1257
157Jaivon JonesLittle Rock24317
165Bryce HepnerNorth Carolina9167
165Will DennyNC State10177
165Andrew SparksMinnesota1367
165EJ ParcoStanford27207
174Logan MesserGeorge Mason19267
174Luca AugustinePittsburgh23167
174Holden GarciaPrinceton28357
285Vincent MuellerColumbia17247
125Mack MaugerMissouri33276
133Max LeeteAmerican10166
133Zan FugittWisconsin16106
133T.K. DavisGardner-Webb17116
133Gage WalkerMissouri19256
141Elijah GriffinRider15216
149David EvansUtah Valley9156
149Max PetersenND State23176
157Derek RaikeOhio13196
157Charlie MillardMinnesota21156
165Braeden ScolesIllinois17116
165Gunner FilipowiczArmy18246
165Chris EarnestKent State23296
165Ryan BurgosEdinboro29356
184Brian SoldanoOklahoma20146
184Abraham WojcikiewiczStanford28226
197Dillon BechtoldBucknell17236
197Devin WasleyND State22286
285Connor BarketDuke24306
285Hunter CatkaRutgers27216
125Vincent RobinsonNC State1275
125Sulayman BahColumbia30355
133Will BetancourtRider25305
133Marcel LopezSIUE27325
141Julian TaggSD State20155
149Caleb TyusSIUE6115
149Aden ValenciaStanford1055
149Andrew ClarkRutgers24295
157Kaleb BurgessBuffalo23285
165Max BrignolaLehigh7125
165Connor EutonIowa State15105
165Cody GoebelWisconsin28235
165Thomas SnipesThe Citadel30355
184James ConwayFranklin & Marshall495
184Angelo FerrariIowa725
184Dylan FishbackOhio State1275
184Ceasar GarzaCal Poly23285
184Aidan BrenotND State27325
184Nick FoxNorthern Iowa29245
197Evan BatesMissouri25205
285Nathan TaylorLehigh6115
285Christian CarrollWyoming18135
125Kysen TerukinaNorth Carolina19154
125Ayden SmithRutgers24284
125Desmond PleasantDrexel31354
133Dominick SerranoN. Colorado9134
133Jacob Van DeeNebraska1394
133Braxton BrownMaryland23274
133Blake BoarmanPurdue24204
133Garrett GriceIowa State28244
133Gable StricklandLock Haven31354
141Ryan JackNC State16124
141Lorenzo FrezzaColumbia22264
149Lucas KapustaLock Haven17214
149Ryan MichaelsEdinboro31354
157Jude SwisherPenn6104
157Luke MechlerWisconsin17214
157Jonathan LeyNavy26224
157Garrett McChesneyEdinboro31354
165Jared KeslarPittsburgh31354
184Chris MooreIllinois9134
184Jaden BullockVirginia Tech14184
184Tomas BrookerApp State21254
197Kade RuleChattanooga30344
197Kael BennieUtah Valley31274
285Jack ForbesUtah Valley30264
125Maximo RenteriaOregon State9123
125Marc-Anthony McGowanPrinceton10133
125Stevo PoulinIowa State13103
125Jacob MoranIndiana14113
125Conrad HendriksenOklahoma21243
125Cooper FlynnChattanooga26233
125Jace SchaferBloomsburg32353
133Ethan BergincArmy14173
133Gabe WhisenhuntOregon State30333
133Carter SchmidtOklahoma32353
141Pierson ManvilleArizona State28253
141Dario LemusMaryland30333
141Billy DeKrakerNorthwestern31343
149Lachlan McNeilMichigan1183
149Carter YoungMaryland1293
149Ryder BlockIowa15183
149Jacob FrostIowa State16133
149Brock HermanLittle Rock19163
149Dylan LaytonRider30333
149Clayton JonesMichigan State32353
157Meyer ShapiroCornell363
157Logan RozynskiLehigh10133
157Kai OwenColumbia19163
157Jimmy HarringtonHarvard20173
157Dylan EvansPittsburgh27243
157Gavin DrexlerND State28253
157Jeb PrechtelBellarmine32353
165Ryder DowneyNorthern Iowa1183
165Cesar AlvanColumbia12153
165Paddy GallagherOhio State16133
165Noah MulvaneyBucknell19223
165Matthew OlguinOregon State22193
174Myles TakatsBucknell10133
174Lenny PintoRutgers21183
174Garrett ThompsonOhio24273
174Sergio DesianteVirginia Tech25223
174Derek GilcherIndiana26233
174Lucas CondonWisconsin32353
184Silas AllredNebraska853
184Isaac DeanIowa State13103
184Ian BushWest Virginia17203
184Chase KranitzPittsburgh26233
197Justin RademacherOregon State693
197Remy CottonRutgers15183
197Zayne LehmanOhio19163
197Wyatt InghamWisconsin20173
285Braxton AmosWisconsin1293
285Jimmy MullenVirginia Tech16193
285Dayton PitzerPittsburgh20173
285Juan MoraOklahoma21183
285Jarrett StonerMissouri28313
285Luke RasmussenSD State29323
125Nic BouzakisOhio State352
125Jore VolkMinnesota682
125Nicolar RiveraWisconsin23212
125Brady RoarkSD State27252
133Jax ForrestOklahoma State132
133Evan MougalianPenn12142
133Julian FarberNorthern Iowa20182
133Sean SpidleNorthwestern21232
133Andrew AustinCentral Michigan33352
141CJ CompostoPenn11132
141Braden BasileArmy26242
141Aldo HernandezApp State32342
149Casey SwiderskiOklahoma State862
149Caleb RathjenNorthern Iowa14122
149Gabe WillochellWyoming21232
149Michael GioffreIllinois25272
149Austin McBurneyBrown33352
157Daniel CardenasStanford9112
157Ty WattersWest Virginia1192
157Ethen MillerVirginia Tech14122
157Cael SwensenSD State16182
157DJ McGeeGeorge Mason18202
157Bryce LoweryIndiana29272
157Laird RootNorth Carolina30322
157Yannis CharlesMorgan State33352
165Ty WhalenPrinceton20182
165Sean SeefeldtPenn24262
165Mac ChurchVirginia Tech25272
174Moses Espinoza-OwensSD State14122
174Brody BaumannPurdue22202
174Riley DavisWyoming30322
174Cael ValenciaArizona State31332
174Grant O'DellBellarmine33352
184Eddie NeitenbachWyoming682
184Mahonri RushtonN. Colorado31332
184Caleb UhlenhoppUtah Valley32342
197Joey NovakWyoming532
197Deanthony ParkerOklahoma8102
197Angelo PosadaStanford972
197Mac StoutPittsburgh1082
197Bennett BergeSD State13112
197Brock ZurawskiRider24262
197Gabe ArnoldIowa27292
197Blake SchafferKent State32342
197Karson TompkinsAir Force33312
285Ben KueterIowa862
285Cole MirasolaPenn State972
285Spencer LanosgaNavy13152
285Koy HopkeMinnesota14122
285Brenan MorganVirginia31292
285Emmanuel UlrichAmerican32342
125Sheldon SeymourLehigh431
125Troy SpratleyOklahoma State541
125Nico ProvoStanford761
125Dean PetersonIowa891
125Koda HolemanCal Poly15141
125Kael LauridsenNebraska25261
125Tyler ChappellPittsburgh29301
133Ben DavinoOhio State211
133Marcus BlazePenn State321
133Aaron SeidelVirginia Tech451
133Kyler LarkinArizona State541
133Drake AyalaIowa671
133Lucas ByrdIllinois781
133Tyler FerraraCornell11121
133Gunner AndrickWest Virginia18191
133Luke WillochellWyoming29281
141Vance VomBaurMinnesota891
141Joey OlivieriRutgers981
141Luke SimcoxNorth Carolina12111
141Caedyn RicciardiNavy17161
141Tyler WellsOklahoma21221
141Jordan TitusWest Virginia29301
141Matthew MartinoPrinceton33321
149Collin GajVirginia Tech431
149Koy BuesgensNC State541
149Joseph ZargoWisconsin13141
149Anderson HeapDavidson26251
157Kaleb LarkinArizona State431
157Landon RobideauOklahoma State541
157Cameron CatraboneMichigan15141
157Colton WashleskiVirginia22231
165Joey BlazePurdue231
165Michael CaliendoIowa321
165LJ AraujoNebraska671
165Matty BianchiLittle Rock891
165Tyler LillardIndiana26251
174MJ GaitanIowa State11101
174Carter SchubertOklahoma12111
174Carter BaerBinghamton13141
174Colin KellyIllinois18191
174Collin CarriganNorth Carolina27281
184Aeoden SinclairMissouri231
184Max McEnellyMinnesota341
184Brock MantanonaMichigan561
184Sal PerrineOhio15161
184Rylan RogersLehigh16171
184Jake DaileyNorth Carolina18191
184Malachi DuVallGeorge Mason25261
197Stephen LittleLittle Rock341
197Sonny SassoVirginia Tech451
197Cody MerrillOklahoma State761
197Camden McDanelNebraska11121
197Luke GeogOhio State12131
197Branson JohnMaryland16151
197Andrew ReallBrown18191
197Rune LawrenceWest Virginia21221
197Michael SquiresBinghamton23241
197Ben VanadiaPurdue26251
197Kael WislerMichigan State28271
285Konner DoucetOklahoma State781
285Brady ColbertArmy15161
285Nate SchonDrexel19201
285Trevor TinkerCal Poly22231
285Mason RebuckBloomsburg33341
125Luke LilledahlPenn State110
125Eddie VentrescaVirginia Tech220
125Ezekiel WittND State16160
125Jett StrickenbergerWest Virginia17170
125Spencer MooreIllinois18180
125Diego SoteloMichigan20200
133Dylan ShawverRutgers26260
141Jesse MendezOhio State110
141Sergio VegaOklahoma State220
141Brock HardyNebraska330
141Anthony EchemendiaIowa State440
141Luke StanichLehigh550
141Vince CornellaCornell660
141Nasir BaileyIowa770
141Jack ConsiglioStanford10100
141Braeden DavisPenn State14140
141Dylan ChappellBucknell23230
149Shayne Van NessPenn State110
149Jaxon JoyCornell220
149Ethan StilesOhio State770
149Chance LamerNebraska20200
157PJ DukePenn State110
157Antrell TaylorNebraska220
157Kannon WebsterIllinois770
157Brandon CannonOhio State880
165Mitchell MesenbrinkPenn State110
165Nicco RuizArizona State440
165LaDarion LockettOklahoma State550
165Andrew BarbosaRutgers14140
165Cody WalshDrexel32320
165Ryan VigilVMI33330
174Levi HainesPenn State110
174Simon RuizCornell220
174Christopher MintoNebraska330
174Carson KharchlaOhio State440
174Patrick KennedyIowa550
174Matthew SingletonNC State660
174Cam SteedMissouri770
174Alex FacundoOklahoma State880
174Beau MantanonaMichigan990
174Danny WaskNavy15150
174Jared SimmaNorthern Iowa17170
174Avery BassettLock Haven29290
184Rocco WelshPenn State110
184Shane Cartagena-WalshRutgers11110
184Tyler BienusBucknell30300
197Josh BarrPenn State110
197Rocky ElamIowa State220
197Gabe SollarsIndiana14140
285Yonger BastidaIowa State110
285Isaac TrumbleNC State220
285Taye GhadialiMichigan330
285AJ FerrariNebraska440
285Nick FeldmanOhio State550
285David SzubaArizona State10100
285Alex SemenenkoBrown25250