Iowa Wrestling vs Missouri National Duals Invitational Preview & Prediction
Iowa Wrestling vs Missouri National Duals Invitational Preview & Prediction
A complete preview plus predictions for the dual between Iowa Wrestling and Missouri in the first round of the 2025 National Duals Invitational.

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Missouri Tigers will meet in the first round of the the National Duals Invitational in one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the round of 16. Top-seeded Iowa will be the favorites in this dual, but key newcomers for Missouri will give them a chance to pull off the upset.
The Hawkeyes earned the top seed at the first ever National Duals Invitational because of their balanced lineup that includes eight wrestlers who are ranked in the top ten of their respective weight classes and five former All-Americans. Iowa wrestlers are ranked higher than Missouri wrestlers in eight of the ten weight classes, but they can't overlook the Tigers.
Mizzou will rely heavily on its newcomers in this dual and throughout the season. Freshmen Mack Mauger (125 lbs), Seth Mendoza (141 lbs), and Aeoden Sinclair (184 lbs) all came to Columbia with strong high school pedigrees. All three have high their eyes on the 2026 NCAA podium, and all three have critical matchups in this dual against Iowa.
125-pounder Mack Mauger will take on Rutgers transfer Dean Peterson, a two-time round of 12 finisher at NCAAs. Mauger was 12-6 against D1 opponents in his true freshman year. Peterson will be a big favorite, so an upset by Mauger at the start of the season would be a statement.
Illinois star Seth Mendoza will get the nod for Missouri at 141 lbs as a true freshman after a senior year of high school that included appearances at Who's Number One and the finals of Fargo, Super 32, and Ironman. The only opponents who defeated him at those events were Jax Forrest and Marcus Blaze. Mendoza will square off against Little Rock transfer and 2024 All-American Nasir Bailey, another Illinois product who will provide an incredible early-season test for Mendoza.
All eyes will be on the 184-pound showdown between redshirt freshmen #2 Angelo Ferrari of Iowa and #9 Aeoden Sinclair of Missouri. While this is Ferrari's first year in the varsity lineup, he earned his #2 ranking last season with a Soldier Salute title, a victory over Iowa State's Evan Bockman, and a sudden-victory win over Oklahoma State NCAA finalist Dustin Plott. Sinclair secured the #9 spot in the rankings with several solid victories in his true freshman year including one over All-American Isaiah Salazar of Minnesota.
Watch a follow along with Angelo Ferrari before the National Duals Invitational
This dual includes a total of six matchups between nationally ranked competitors and a lot of intrigue from top to bottom. It takes place in the first session of the National Duals Invitational at 9:00 am CT. Tickets to watch the event at the BOK Center in Tulsa, Oklahoma are still available here.
2025-26 Iowa Overview
Head Coach: Tom Brands (20th season)
Assistants: Terry Brands, Ryan Morningstar, Bobby Telford
2025 NCAA tournament finish: 4th
2025 NCAA tournament points: 81
2025 Big Ten tournament finish: 3rd
2025 Dual Record: 14-1
Returning All-Americans: 5 (Drake Ayala, Nasir Bailey, Michael Caliendo, Patrick Kennedy, Ben Kueter)
Returning National Qualifiers: 9 (Dean Peterson, Joey Cruz, Drake Ayala, Jordan Williams, Victor Voinovich, Michael Caliendo, Patrick Kennedy, Gabe Arnold, Ben Kueter)
Key Off-Season Transfers: Nasir Bailey (Little Rock), Jordan Williams (Little Rock), Massoma Endene (Wartburg)
Last NCAA champion: Stephen Buchanan (2025)
Highest NCAA team finish: 1st (1975, 1976, 1978, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2021)
Highest NCAA team finish under Brands: 1st (2008, 2009, 2010, 2021)
Most national placers in a season under Brands: 7 (2008, 2021)
2025-26 Missouri Overview
Head Coach: Brian Smith (28th season)
Assistants: Kendric Maple, Dom Bradley, Keegan O'Toole
2025 NCAA tournament finish: 14th
2025 NCAA tournament points: 32
2025 Big 12 tournament finish: 8th
2025 Dual Record: 5-10
Returning All-Americans: 1 (Cameron Steed)
Returning National Qualifiers: 6 (Kade Moore, Josh Edmond, James Conway, Maxx Mayfield, Cameron Steed, Evan Bates)
Key Off-Season Transfers: Maxx Mayfield (Northwestern), Evan Bates (Northwestern)
Last NCAA champion: 2023 (Keegan O'Toole)
Highest NCAA team finish: 3rd (2007)
Highest NCAA team finish under Smith: 3rd (2007)
Most national placers in a season under Smith: 5 (2009, 2013, 2015, 2017, 2023)
Probable Lineups
Iowa Hawkeyes
125 lbs - #10 Dean Peterson
133 lbs - #3 Drake Ayala
141 lbs - #10 Nasir Bailey
149 lbs - Ryder Block
157 lbs - #7 Jordan Williams
165 lbs - #2 Michael Caliendo
174 lbs - #2 Patrick Kennedy
184 lbs - #2 Angelo Ferrari
197 lbs - Massoma Endene
285 lbs - #5 Ben Kueter
Missouri Tigers
125 lbs - Mack Mauger
133 lbs - #21 Kade Moore
141 lbs - Seth Mendoza
149 lbs - #15 Josh Edmond
157 lbs - #24 James Conway
165 lbs - #12 Maxx Mayfield
174 lbs - #5 Cameron Steed
184 lbs - #9 Aeoden Sinclair
197 lbs - #10 Evan Bates
285 lbs - #24 Jarrett Stoner
Key Matchups
141 lbs - #10 Nasir Bailey, Iowa vs Seth Mendoza, Missouri
157 lbs - #7 Jordan Williams, Iowa vs #24 James Conway, Missouri
174 lbs - #2 Patrick Kennedy, Iowa vs # 5 Cameron Steed, Missouri
184 lbs - #2 Angelo Ferrari, Iowa vs #9 Aeoden Sinclair, Missouri
197 lbs - Massoma Endene, Iowa vs #10 Evan Bates, Missouri
Ranked Wrestlers
Iowa
125 lbs - #10 Dean Peterson
133 lbs - #3 Drake Ayala
141 lbs - #10 Nasir Bailey
157 lbs - #7 Jordan Williams
165 lbs - #2 Michael Caliendo
174 lbs - #2 Patrick Kennedy
184 lbs - #2 Angelo Ferrari
285 lbs - #5 Ben Kueter
Missouri
133 lbs - #21 Kade Moore
149 lbs - #15 Josh Edmond
157 lbs - #24 James Conway
165 lbs - #12 Maxx Mayfield
174 lbs - #5 Cameron Steed
184 lbs - #9 Aeoden Sinclair
197 lbs - #10 Evan Bates
285 lbs - #24 Jarrett Stoner
Prediction
On paper, Iowa is favored at eight of ten weights. Missouri has upset potential throughout the dual, but it's tough to predict where they'll pull off those upsets. Here's my attempt at predicting what could happen in this dual.
125 lbs - Dean Peterson over Mack Mauger by decision
133 lbs - Drake Ayala over Kade Moore by major decision
141 lbs - Nasir Bailey over Seth Mendoza by decision
149 lbs - Josh Edmond over Ryder Block by decision
157 lbs - Jordan Williams over James Conway by decision
165 lbs - Michael Caliendo over Maxx Mayfields by major decision
174 lbs - Cameron Steed over Patrick Kennedy by decision
184 lbs - Angelo Ferrari over Aeoden Sinclair by decision
197 lbs - Evan Bates over Massoma Endene by decision
285 lbs - Ben Kueter over Jarrett Stoner by decision
Final score: Iowa 23, Missouri 9