2017 NCAA Championships

Final Hodge Rankings Entering NCAAs

Final Hodge Rankings Entering NCAAs

The final Hodge trophy ranking before the 2017 NCAA wrestling tournament in St. Louis

Mar 13, 2017 by Wrestling Nomad
Final Hodge Rankings Entering NCAAs

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This season has given us one of the most interesting Hodge Trophy races ever. With an undefeated wrestler at every weight, we head into the final weekend with 10 possible options for wrestling's Heisman.

We wanted to give one final Hodge rankings update before everyone heads to St. Louis. Below are the criteria for the Hodge Trophy.

Hodge Criteria

  1. A wrestlers record
  2. Number of pins
  3. Dominance on the mat
  4. Past credentials
  5. Quality of competition
  6. Sportsmanship/Citizenship
  7. Heart

The rankings below are my personal opinion based on my interpretation of the Hodge criteria, specifically the first five, as sportsmanship, citizenship, and heart are tough to measure.

10. Dean Heil, Oklahoma State (141)

Record: 27-0

Bonus Point Wins: 2 falls, 4 techs, 7 majors

Bonus Point Percentage: 48.1%

Elite Wins: 6 seed George DiCamillo (3-1), 7 seed Joey Ward (3-1), 8 seed Jaydin Eierman (8-6)

Commentary: The defending 141 pound champ needs a lot of help to keep the Hodge in Stillwater. Alex Dieringer was the first Cowboy to win the award when he closed out his career with it last year. He is the epitome of "just win."

9. Nathan Tomasello, Ohio State (133)

Record: 19-0

Bonus Point Wins: 1 fall, 4 techs, 5 majors

Bonus Point Percentage: 52.6%

Elite Wins: 4 seed Cory Clark (5-4), 5 seed Stevan Micic (3-2, 6-5), 7 seed Eric Montoya (5-2), 8 seed Zane Richards (12-4)

Commentary: One of two Buckeyes on this list hoping to add a Hodge to the one Logan Stieber won in 2015. Tomasello was a national champ that year and looks to get back on top again this year. He is hurt by only having one pin, and may have missed too much of the year to get a boost under quality of competition.

8. J'den Cox, Missouri (197)

Record: 23-0

Bonus Point Wins: 5 falls, 6 techs, 5 majors

Bonus Point Percentage: 69.6%

Elite Wins: No. 2 Brett Pfarr (6-4), No. 3 Jared Haught (2-0), No. 4 Kollin Moore (6-4)

Commentary: Unfortunately for Cox, he does not get a boost for being an Olympic bronze medalist. His bonus rate is the same as Zain Retherford's pin rate, so even with a third NCAA title, he's a long shot to be the first 197 to win the Hodge since Emmett Wilson in 2004.

7. Zahid Valencia, Arizona State (174)

Record: 33-0

Bonus Point Wins: 13 falls, 3 techs, 8 majors

Bonus Point Percentage: 72.7%

Elite Wins: 2 seed Brian Realbuto (3-2), 8 seed Ethan Ramos (11-10, 2-1)

Commentary: Food for thought, Valencia is the second 174 top seed in a row to be a redshirt freshman. He has a better record than Bo Nickal last year entering NCAAs, as well as a better bonus rate with more pins. Valencia comes in at 5th on the "NCAA most dominant" list with a 4.68 average match score result, ahead of Nickal's 7th place entering the tournament last year with a 4.37.

6. Isaiah Martinez, Illinois (165)

Record: 27-0

Bonus Point Wins: 6 falls, 10 techs, 5 majors

Bonus Point Percentage: 77.8%

Elite Wins: 2 seed Logan Massa (3-1, 10-4), 3 seed Vincenzo Joseph (5-2, 8-5), 5 seed Chad Walsh (10-6), 6 seed Daniel Lewis (7-4), 7 seed Anthony Valencia (10-1, Fall)

Commentary: For the first 17 years of the award's existence, no 165 won the Hodge. Since, they've won five of the last six. I'm not entirely sure Martinez deserves it this year based on his number of pins, but he should start next year as the overwhelming favorite to win as he tries to become the fifth four-time NCAA champ of all time.

5. Kyle Snyder, Ohio State (285)

Record: 12-0

Bonus Point Wins: 4 falls, 3 techs, 3 majors

Bonus Point Percentage: 83.3%

Elite Wins: 2 seed Connor Medbery (8-5), 5 seed Nick Nevills (19-9), 7 seed Tanner Hall (20-8), 8 seed Michael Kroells (14-7)

Commentary: Snyder drops a spot after getting two decisions at Big Tens, lowering his bonus rate considerably. No one questions Snyder's the best guy at this weight. But his freestyle credentials not only don't help him, they likely hurt him due to a lack of matches. The youngest gold medalist in US history has the biggest gap between him and the field, but is unlikely to win the Hodge unless he is the only one to finish the year undefeated.

4. Thomas Gilman, Iowa (125)

Record: 27-0

Bonus Point Wins: 10 falls, 7 techs, 6 majors

Bonus Point Percentage: 85.2%

Elite Wins: 3 seed Nick Suriano (3-2), 5 seed Lambert (4-0, 6-3, 13-4), 6 seed Lizak (Fall), 7 seed Sean Russell (10-2), 8 seed Nick Piccininni (12-4)

Commentary: The lightest weight has never had a Hodge winner, likely because they almost never go undefeated. The biggest question for Gilman is how much, if at all, he gets hurt by "sportsmanship." Gilman seems like no worse a person than anyone else on this list, and is shooting to be the first 125 since Anthony Robles to finish unblemished.

3. Zain Retherford, Penn State (149)

Record: 23-0

Bonus Point Wins: 16 falls, 3 techs, 1 major

Bonus Point Percentage: 87%

Elite Wins: 2 seed Anthony Collica (2-1), 4 seed Micah Jordan (20-5, 16-1), 5 seed Brandon Sorensen (9-8)

Commentary: When you pin 70% of the competition, you have to be at the table for the Hodge, but Retherford's dominance is hurt by his close matches with Collica and Sorensen. I'm not sure what the committee designates as an elite win (I used guys seeded to AA), but he does have seven "quality wins," defined by the seeding committee as guys who qualified for NCAAs.

2. Jason Nolf, Penn State (157)

Record: 22-0

Bonus Point Wins: 13 falls, 6 techs, 1 major

Bonus Point Percentage: 90.9%

Elite Wins: 2 seed Michael Kemerer (9-4, 8-2), 4 seed Tyler Berger (15-7), 5 seed Joe Smith (24-9), No. 9 Jake Short (Fall, Fall)

Commentary: The only foe Nolf hasn't bonused is Michael Kemerer, who has held the No. 2 slot most of this year. Aside from Snyder, there is perhaps no one who has separated himself from a weight class as much as Nolf has from 157 pounds. Perhaps the only way he can overcome Dean though (aside from the 184 pounder losing) would be to major his way through the national tournament.

1. Gabe Dean, Cornell (184)

Record: 30-0

Bonus Point Wins: 20 falls, 4 techs, 4 majors

Bonus Point Percentage: 93.3%

Elite Wins: 4 seed Nolan Boyd (14-6, 7-2), 5 seed Zach Zavatsky (19-4), 6 seed Myles Martin (10-5),

Commentary: What hurts Dean the most (assuming he wins NCAAs) is Myles Martin's win over our former No. 2 Bo Nickal in the Big Ten semifinals. That would have given him the elite win he needed to lock up the Hodge, but as it stands, a third title (matched only by J'Den Cox and Isaiah Martinez) and the highest pin and pin rate should make him the second Big Red wrestler after Kyle Dake to win the Hodge, as well as the second straight year a non-Big Ten athlete won it.